Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.003113 0.003261 0.003413 0.003578 0.003756 0.003939 0.004144
2025-03-16 0.002838 0.003057 0.003289 0.003554 0.003849 0.004169 0.004542
2025-03-23 0.002637 0.002895 0.003174 0.003502 0.003878 0.004298 0.004804
2025-03-30 0.002486 0.002769 0.003082 0.003458 0.003899 0.004404 0.005031
2025-04-06 0.002388 0.002693 0.003038 0.003459 0.003964 0.004555 0.005308
2025-04-13 0.002240 0.002552 0.002908 0.003349 0.003887 0.004529 0.005363
2025-04-20 0.002172 0.002498 0.002877 0.003353 0.003944 0.004662 0.005616
2025-04-27 0.002135 0.002479 0.002884 0.003402 0.004055 0.004863 0.005961
2025-05-04 0.002060 0.002411 0.002829 0.003369 0.004059 0.004928 0.006130
2025-05-11 0.001998 0.002356 0.002786 0.003348 0.004077 0.005009 0.006319
2025-05-18 0.001940 0.002303 0.002743 0.003325 0.004089 0.005079 0.006497
2025-05-25 0.001914 0.002289 0.002748 0.003362 0.004180 0.005257 0.006828
2025-06-01 0.001866 0.002246 0.002715 0.003350 0.004206 0.005349 0.007046
2025-06-08 0.001816 0.002199 0.002676 0.003328 0.004217 0.005420 0.007236
2025-06-15 0.001759 0.002140 0.002620 0.003280 0.004190 0.005437 0.007346
2025-06-22 0.001708 0.002089 0.002570 0.003240 0.004171 0.005462 0.007468
2025-06-29 0.001677 0.002061 0.002552 0.003241 0.004209 0.005569 0.007717
2025-07-06 0.001606 0.001981 0.002462 0.003140 0.004100 0.005460 0.007627
2025-07-13 0.001580 0.001959 0.002448 0.003144 0.004139 0.005566 0.007878
2025-07-20 0.001571 0.001959 0.002463 0.003188 0.004238 0.005764 0.008282
2025-07-27 0.001534 0.001921 0.002426 0.003158 0.004226 0.005795 0.008418
2025-08-03 0.001503 0.001890 0.002398 0.003139 0.004230 0.005850 0.008595
2025-08-10 0.001473 0.001858 0.002369 0.003118 0.004230 0.005897 0.008759